top of page

Productivity Decrease is the Largest Since 1960 as Labor Costs Jump


On Tuesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 5.2% in the third quarter of 2021, as output increased 1.8% and hours worked increased 7.4%.


· This is the largest decline in quarterly productivity since the second quarter of 1960, when the measure decreased 6.1%


· From the third quarter of 2020 to the third quarter of 2021, nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.6%


· This four-quarter rate is the largest decline since the fourth quarter of 1993, when the measure also declined 0.6%



Labor Costs Up Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased at an annual rate of 9.6% in the third quarter of 2021, reflecting a 3.9% increase in hourly compensation and a 5.2% decrease in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 6.3% over the last four quarters.


Further:

· In the third quarter of 2021, both output and hours worked increased for the fifth consecutive quarter following historic declines in those measures in the second quarter of 2020.

· The output index is now 1.8% above the level seen in the fourth quarter of 2019, the last quarter not affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, while the hours worked index remains 1.0% below its fourth quarter 2019 level.

The nonfarm business labor productivity index is 2.8% higher in third-quarter 2021 than it was in fourth-quarter 2019, corresponding to an annualized growth rate of 1.6% during the pandemic period of fourth quarter 2019 through third quarter 2021. This rate is slightly higher than the 1.4% average annual growth rate during the previous business cycle – from 2007 to 2019 – but below the long-term average rate since 1947 of 2.1%.


Nonfinancial Corporate Sector Preliminary third-quarter 2021 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector.

· Productivity increased 0.7% in the third quarter of 2021 as output and hours worked increased 6.8% and 6.1%, respectively.

· As in the larger


nonfarm business sector, both output and hours worked in the nonfinancial corporate sector have increased in each of the last five quarters.

· Output is now 5.2% above the fourth quarter 2019 level, while hours worked remain 1.2% lower than in fourth-quarter 2019, the last quarter not affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

· Productivity increased 5.5% in the nonfinancial corporate sector over the last four quarters.

· Unit profits of nonfinancial corporations increased at an 8.3% annual rate in the third quarter of 2021 and increased 11.3% over the last four quarters.

More Data Later This Week More economic data will be released later this week, including the JOLTS Report on Wednesday; Jobless Claims on Thursday and CPI data on Friday.


Comments


bottom of page